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The conference board publishes leading, coincident, and lagging indexes designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle for major economies around the world Tcb will resume publication once updated us. The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declines in august latest press release updated
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Thursday, september 18, 2025 note Due to the us federal government shutdown, all further releases for the conference board employment trends index™ (eti), the conference board−lightcast help wanted online® index (hwol index), the conference board leading economic index® of the us (us lei) and the conference board global leading economic index® (global lei) data may be delayed Due to the us federal government shutdown, all further releases for the.
Economic indicator calendar all release times displayed are eastern time note
Follow our forecasts to get the numbers you need and the insights to help you navigate a shifting economic landscape Our authoritative economic data starts with the widely quoted consumer confidence index® and leading economic indicators, which we took over from the us government in 1995 But we do much more, providing actionable data on the business cycle and labor trends, as well as the. Leading indicators are series that tend to shift direction in advance of the business cycle
For this reason, they receive the lion’s share of attention Coincident indicators, such as employment and production, are broad series that measure aggregate economic activity Thus, they define the business cycle. Description of components the composite indexes of leading, coincident, and lagging indicators produced by the conference board are summary statistics for the u.s
They are constructed by averaging their individual components in order to smooth out a good part of the volatility of the individual series
Historically, the cyclical turning points in the leading index have occurred. Leading economic indicators and the oncoming recessionthe conference board is the global, nonprofit think tank and business membership organization that delivers trusted insights for what's ahead ® The conference board leading economic index® for the global economy is designed to timely and accurately predict cyclical movements in global economic activity. The employment trends index aggregates eight leading indicators of employment, each of which has proven accurate in its own area
Aggregating individual indicators into a composite index filters out “noise” to show underlying trends more clearly The conference board employment trends index ™, november 1973 to present
